Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Live
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Minnesota Vikings winning 45% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Minnesota Vikings commit fewer turnovers in 55% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Adrian Peterson is averaging 95 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Donald Brown is averaging 51 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +1 --- Over/Under line is 43.5
The Indianapolis Colts are looking to the future and after week one it is still uncertain just how far off the future is. Andrew Luck had his share of challenges in his first NFL start in week one facing a tough Bears defense as he completed 51 percent of his passes for 309 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions while being sacked three times. Donald Brown carried the ball just nine times but he averaged 5.3 yards per carry and scored a touchdown. Reggie Wayne appears to have plenty left in the tank catching nine passes for 135 yards, Coby Fleener had six catches, and Donnie Avery caught a touchdown pass. Defensively the Colts gave up the third most points of any team in week one as they allowed 114 rushing yards and 314 passing yards while recording two sacks and an interception. Antoine Bethea had nine tackles, Jerraud Powers had six tackles, and Robert Mathis had two sacks. It’s clear there are going to be some growing pains along the way but the Colts look to be at the very least building a foundation.
The Minnesota Vikings were in a battle in week one but they showed resilience winning in overtime. Christian Ponder wasn’t perfect but he played very well completing 74 percent of his passes for 270 yards but he was sacked four times. Adrian Peterson didn’t show many effects of last season’s injury as he averaged 4.9 yards per carry and scored two touchdowns. Percy Harvin had six catches to lead the Vikings and he also carried the ball five times, Kyle Rudolph had five catches, and Devin Aromashodu and Michael Jenkins had three catches each. Defensively Minnesota allowed 113 rushing yards and 242 passing yards while recording two sacks. Chad Greenway led the Vikings with 13 tackles, Erin Henderson had 10 tackles and a sack, and Jasper Brinkley had six tackles. The Vikings look to be improved and play their second AFC South team in as many weeks.
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Indianapolis is 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games overall, 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 home games, and 5-12 against the spread following a loss. Minnesota is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall, and 1-5 against the spread following a win.
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The total in this one is set at 44.5 but with two young QB’s look for plenty of mistakes and for this one to stay under the total. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as making the pick available for individual purchase.
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Minnesota Vikings winning 45% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Minnesota Vikings commit fewer turnovers in 55% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Adrian Peterson is averaging 95 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Donald Brown is averaging 51 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +1 --- Over/Under line is 43.5
The Indianapolis Colts are looking to the future and after week one it is still uncertain just how far off the future is. Andrew Luck had his share of challenges in his first NFL start in week one facing a tough Bears defense as he completed 51 percent of his passes for 309 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions while being sacked three times. Donald Brown carried the ball just nine times but he averaged 5.3 yards per carry and scored a touchdown. Reggie Wayne appears to have plenty left in the tank catching nine passes for 135 yards, Coby Fleener had six catches, and Donnie Avery caught a touchdown pass. Defensively the Colts gave up the third most points of any team in week one as they allowed 114 rushing yards and 314 passing yards while recording two sacks and an interception. Antoine Bethea had nine tackles, Jerraud Powers had six tackles, and Robert Mathis had two sacks. It’s clear there are going to be some growing pains along the way but the Colts look to be at the very least building a foundation.
The Minnesota Vikings were in a battle in week one but they showed resilience winning in overtime. Christian Ponder wasn’t perfect but he played very well completing 74 percent of his passes for 270 yards but he was sacked four times. Adrian Peterson didn’t show many effects of last season’s injury as he averaged 4.9 yards per carry and scored two touchdowns. Percy Harvin had six catches to lead the Vikings and he also carried the ball five times, Kyle Rudolph had five catches, and Devin Aromashodu and Michael Jenkins had three catches each. Defensively Minnesota allowed 113 rushing yards and 242 passing yards while recording two sacks. Chad Greenway led the Vikings with 13 tackles, Erin Henderson had 10 tackles and a sack, and Jasper Brinkley had six tackles. The Vikings look to be improved and play their second AFC South team in as many weeks.
Indianapolis is 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 games overall, 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 home games, and 5-12 against the spread following a loss. Minnesota is 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine games overall, and 1-5 against the spread following a win.
The total in this one is set at 44.5 but with two young QB’s look for plenty of mistakes and for this one to stay under the total. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as making the pick available for individual purchase.
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